About 21st Century Plowshare

  • Manifesto v. 1.0

Actions In Progress!

« The Practical Impact of Environmental Abstractions | Main | The Limits of Education »

02/24/2009

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00e54fc3d3fc883301127909e4fa28a4

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Goal:

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Although this is an interesting and fruitful question, I think your underlying assumption is flawed.

I think this because my dad, since he retired from his job as an aerospace engineer, has been studying all the available data on global warming for the last decade or so. He has determined a few things:

1) The dire predictions of exponential global warming rates used by Al Gore and accepted by the media are based on data which excludes the most accurate data we have, which is the data collected by satellites. Satellite data shows a much more modest rate of warming compared to surface data, and is much less likely to be compromised by inconsistent measurement methods and human error.

2) The cumulative margin of error in data used to determine global warming rates is much higher than the overall margin of error in the 'final results', which means that those 'final results' are entirely meaningless.

3) There is not remotely enough petroleum left on the planet, according to the most optimistic calculations, to produce the kind of global warming rates that would cause the catastrophes now being predicted. We will run out of oil well before the global warming curve hits an exponential rise.

My own view is that global warming fears can and will help us make a shift to greener energy sources, force us to cooperate, and get us to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, all of which are excellent things. But fomenting hysteria as a means of implementing totalitarian 'solutions' is irresponsible and counterproductive. I optimistically hope that the balance of tensions between political action and economic reality will cause us to muddle through to a set of responses that is both environmentally beneficial and economically productive.

Incidentally, I'm in favor of a hefty gas tax. Nothing caused us to reduce our petroleum consumption until the price of gas hit $4/gallon.

Your article is very interesting and useful for lot of us. I'm sure that many people agree with me.

The comments to this entry are closed.

You Should See This

  • What Not To Do
    An impressive take-down of environmentalism as a cultural force that, alas, leaves the reader with nothing in terms of handling the literal threat of environmentalism in a positive way. We can do better!
  • Monitoring Your Internal Dialogue
    A recipe for figuring out how to sell environmental ideas (well, any idea) and stop preaching to the converted.
  • The Opposite of Gentle
    Over-reliance on GPS and panic-button technology creates under-reliance on common sense in wildlife settings.
  • Yet Another Wrinkle...
    It's a good question, via Slate. What if one country went off all half cocked and decided to try a little freelance geoengineering?
  • Why Waiting On Cap and Trade Legislation Is Good
    via Climate Progress, an interesting political argument for going slow.
  • Mr. Jones Goes To Washington
    Van Jones is the Obama administration's Special Adviser for Green Jobs, Enterprise, and Innovation!
  • Geoengineering is scary
    If you want another good reason to get up and do something to change your local environment right now, watch this video. Ken Caldeira explains Plan B, which seems to consist of dumping a bunch of iron filings into the ocean, pumping the stratosphere with sulfur dioxide and making volcanoes erupt.
  • My Bathroom, My Self
    Great insight via the New York Times into the Homeowner's Paradox: what choices do you make when luxury and green are fighting for your attention?
  • .013 Seconds of Guilt-Free Living
    Only $24.95! The problem with Carbon Offsets, via the Onion. For more facts and analysis of carbon offsets, Joe Romm is your man.
  • Step Lively People!
    Nine out of 10 climate scientists surveyed are calling a 4-5 degree centigrade average rise in temperature the best we can hope for given our current political will to stop climate change. All the more reason to change the political will with continued Rogue Responsible Acts, and Bottom-Up Leadership! Let's go!

Resources