Image from The Day After Tomorrow, 2004
Climate change is a scary problem. I have a very young niece. I think that if we don't do something about climate change right now, she'll grow up in a very intense, Mad Max kind of world, and that legitimately frightens me.
But my fear about the climate is not the kind of fear that's motivating, and I know from all the talk and the paucity of action that I am not the only one who feels this way.
I think this confounds many environmentalists, who are strongly motivated by the fear, and assume that anyone who isn't panicking and rushing to shut off lights and get off the grid whenever they look into the eyes of the babies they know is a total fool, and so they structure their message thusly, around this fear.
The fear is valid. But there are problems with creating a movement that is organized around fear that are as long as my arm. It's a good way to arrive at a kind of well-meaning fascism, and so people rightly mistrust the fear as fearmongering. It's not a good way to ensure that you use climate change as an opportunity to seriously upgrade as many people as possible. It's hard to be thoughtful and fearful at the same time.
In fact, it's entirely possible that organizing around fear gives people like Freeman Dyson an enormous free pass. The man is talking about some profoundly silly ideas, like replanting forests with genetically engineered carbon-eating trees, and that idea is probably none too smart. It's probably an idea that relies too much on the Human Ingenuity that got us into this mess in the first place. But the New York Times is taking Dyson seriously because he's got a track record as a smart fellow and he isn't the slightest bit hysterical.
Environmentalists who really want to do something should read the entire Dyson profile, even though it contains many opinions of Dyson's that are factually untrue and yet are presented as fact. And then read Joe Romm's response to the Dyson profile, which is 120% more factual, and think about who you would want to get behind if you were in a plane crash.
Romm is right, but he's also doing a fair amount of hair-pulling and character assault, and I never trust this kind of hysteria about anything. I would rather follow the calm, confident guy, and I am saying this knowing with every fiber of my being that Dyson is calm and confident because he's wrong.
This means that Romm has a marketing problem. What does it take to make Romm the calm, confident guy that he needs to be if we are going to follow his plan? If fear isn't working as a marketing plan, then what will?
